xov xwm

1. Kev tsom xam ntawm lub ntiaj teb no polyethylene muaj peev xwm ntau lawm hauv 2018-2022

Los ntawm 2018 txog 2022, thoob ntiaj teb polyethylene muaj peev xwm tsim tau pom tias muaj kev loj hlob zoo.Txij li xyoo 2018, lub ntiaj teb polyethylene muaj peev xwm ntau lawm tau nkag mus rau lub sijhawm ntawm kev nthuav dav, thiab lub peev xwm ntawm polyethylene tau nce ntau.Ntawm lawv, xyoo 2021, lub ntiaj teb polyethylene tshiab muaj peev xwm ntau lawm tau nce 8.26% piv nrog rau xyoo 2020. Hauv 2022, lub ntiaj teb polyethylene tshiab muaj peev xwm yog kwv yees li 9.275 lab tons.Vim muaj kev cuam tshuam ntawm cov xwm txheej kev noj qab haus huv thoob ntiaj teb, cov nqi polyethylene siab thiab qhov tsis txaus ntseeg ntawm kev ncua ntawm cov chaw tsim khoom tshiab, qee cov nroj tsuag tau npaj pib tsim tawm xyoo 2022 tau ncua mus txog xyoo 2023, thiab cov khoom siv thiab kev xav tau ntawm lub ntiaj teb polyethylene. kev lag luam tau pib hloov los ntawm cov khoom siv nruj nruj mus rau qhov muaj peev xwm ntau dhau.

2. Kev tsom xam ntawm polyethylene muaj peev xwm ntau lawm hauv Suav teb los ntawm 2018 txog 2022

Los ntawm 2018 txog 2022, qhov nruab nrab txhua xyoo kev loj hlob ntawm polyethylene muaj peev xwm nce 14.6%, uas tau nce los ntawm 18.73 lab tons hauv 2018 mus rau 32.31 lab tons hauv 2022. Vim tias tam sim no qhov xwm txheej ntawm kev lag luam siab ntawm polyethylene, ntshuam dependency ib txwm nyob. saum toj no 45% ua ntej 2020, thiab polyethylene tau nkag mus rau lub voj voog nrawm nrawm hauv peb lub xyoos txij li xyoo 2020 txog 2022. Ntau tshaj 10 lab tons ntawm cov peev txheej tshiab.Xyoo 2020, cov khoom siv roj ib txwm yuav tawg, thiab polyethylene yuav nkag mus rau theem tshiab ntawm kev txhim kho ntau haiv neeg.Hauv ob xyoos tom ntej no, kev loj hlob ntawm polyethylene ntau lawm qeeb thiab homogenization ntawm cov khoom siv dav dav tau loj hlob.Hais txog cov cheeb tsam, qhov muaj peev xwm nce tshiab hauv 2022 yog qhov tseem ceeb hauv East China.Txawm hais tias lub peev xwm tshiab tau nce ntawm 2.1 lab tons hauv South Tuam Tshoj deb tshaj li ntawm East Tuam Tshoj, lub peev xwm ntawm South Tuam Tshoj feem ntau yog muab tso rau hauv ntau lawm thaum lub Kaum Ob Hlis, uas tseem tsis tau paub meej, suav nrog lub peev xwm ntawm 120 tons ntawm petrochina, 600,000 tons ntawm Hainan. refining thiab tshuaj, thiab 300,000 tons EVA / LDPE co-production chav nyob hauv Gulei.Kev tsim tawm yuav tsum nyob rau hauv 2023, nrog rau kev cuam tshuam tsawg dua hauv 2022. Nyob rau hauv xyoo tas los no, cov lag luam hauv zos nyob rau sab hnub tuaj Tuam Tshoj tau muab tso rau hauv kev tsim khoom sai thiab tuav lub lag luam sai, suav nrog 400,000 tons ntawm Lianyungang Petrochemical thiab 750,000 tons ntawm Zhejiang Petrochemical.

3. Kev xa khoom thiab kev thov sib npaug ntawm Tuam Tshoj txoj kev lag luam polyethylene hauv 2023-2027

2023-2027 tseem yuav yog lub ncov ntawm polyethylene muaj peev xwm nthuav dav hauv Suav teb.Raws li Longzhong txheeb cais, kwv yees li 21.28 lab tons ntawm polyethylene yog npaj yuav muab tso rau hauv ntau lawm nyob rau hauv 5 xyoo tom ntej, thiab nws cia siab tias Tuam Tshoj lub peev xwm polyethylene yuav ncav cuag 53.59 lab tons nyob rau hauv 2027. Xav txog qhov ncua sij hawm los yog grounding ntawm cov cuab yeej. cia siab tias Tuam Tshoj cov khoom tsim tawm yuav ncav cuag 39,586,900 tons hauv 2027. Qhov nce ntawm 55.87% los ntawm 2022. Thaum lub sijhawm ntawd, Tuam Tshoj tus kheej tus kheej tus nqi yuav zoo dua, thiab cov khoom lag luam yuav raug hloov mus rau qhov loj.Tab sis los ntawm qhov pom ntawm cov qauv ntshuam tam sim no, qhov ntim ntawm cov khoom siv tshwj xeeb suav txog li 20% ntawm tag nrho cov khoom ntim ntawm polyethylene, thiab qhov sib txawv ntawm cov khoom siv tshwj xeeb yuav qeeb los ua kom nrawm.Los ntawm qhov kev xav ntawm cheeb tsam, nws tseem nyuaj rau thim rov qab cov khoom siv ntau dhau hauv cheeb tsam Northeast thiab qaum teb sab hnub poob.Ntxiv mus, tom qab lub hauv paus kev lag luam ntawm cov khoom siv nyob rau hauv South Tuam Tshoj, cov zis nyob rau hauv South Tuam Tshoj yuav nyob rau hauv lub thib ob qhov chaw nyob rau hauv Tuam Tshoj nyob rau hauv 2027, yog li ntawd cov khoom sib txawv nyob rau hauv South Tuam Tshoj yuav txo tau ntau heev.